Why the PS3 Will Flop
It seems that critics tend to claim the PS3 will win, but the sad truth is that most of these people forgot one thing in 11th grade English. Oh, its a little something called ELABORATION! Yes, in the end these so called "professionals" have the writing skills of a chimpanzee, so I've decided to set them straight. I'm going to tell them how a mighty Juggernaut is destroying its self and possibly bankrupt a multi million dollar company. I going to tell you why there PS3 will flop.
1)The Price: I'm probably beating a dead horse here, but Sony's major flaw is the •••• $600 price tag. Of course, Sony tries to tell you its worth it, but is it really. Truth is, its hard to sell your system if no one can afford it. A normal entertainment budget can range from $50-$100 depending on the income. Basically you will have to save up for about six weeks just to be able to get a new system. Also the average person doesn't just play video games, they have other things to spend there money on as well. Also add in the fact that you still have to buy a game and a controller, which is another $100. Sony is pushing there system to hardcore gamers and the usual demographic of 18-28 year olds, but if your a young adult do you have $600 to spend on a console, but you might have $400 to buy that cheaper 360.
2)Stiff Competition: With the PS2, its was total domination. Nintendo and Microsoft didn't have a chance in hell, but now its a little different. Nintendo and Microsoft have already come out and have received alot of praise. And Sony, well, not so much. Microsoft and Nintendo have shown alot more promise and have both had strong launches(or will in Nintendo's case). They also aren't a year Behind. Sony didn't factor that in, as they are not doing well to protect there title.
3)Few Strong Launch Titles: It is somewhat surprising how many launch titles Sony has, yet they are lacking in both quantity and quality compared to there competition. Sony has about twenty or so titles, which is good, but Nintendo has thirty and Microsoft more, as they have been out longer. This doesn't help the consumer, as there not much to chose from. The quality is also poor. None of the titles stick out, besides Devil May Cry 4. Nintendo has Zelda, and Red Steel, where Microsoft has Oblivion and Gears of War. There competitors have much better games, and it only gets worse from there
4)Few Strong Titles: Sony also doesn't have the backing in the long run. Sadly, they have only Metal Gear Solid 4, set late 2007 and Final Fantasy XIII which may not be seen till 2008! Nintendo has Mario Galaxy set around spring, Metroid Prime 3 early next year and Super Smash Bros Brawl some time in 2007. Microsoft also has a full hand with Lost Planet early 2007, and Halo 3 and Halo Wars sometime in 2007. Now Sony's hand looks like a fold, especially since Grand theft Auto, there ace for the west, is also on the cheaper X-Box 360. Opps! And if thats not bad enough, they keep on losing exclusive titles to Microsoft.
5)Few Systems: Sony has announced they will have 400,000 consoles for the US launch. That's nice and all, but Nintendo has one million and Microsoft more. So what does this mean. On Christmas a buyer will go to the store to pick a PS3 but they will have none. Its Christmas, so they don't want to go empty handed, so they'll easily pick up their competitors. This also means more people will tell friends and family about that new console they picked up instead of the PS3. This will also have some other effects as well.
6)Sony Can't Keep Up: Its expensive to make a PS3. This is a major reason why they don't have many at launch, but they could lose solely because of this. Even if there is a demand, they wont be able to keep up production. This could mean unhappy fans who will just pick up another system, so even after launch you see something like in #5.And even if fans like it more and could potentially sell more, it wont because there competitors make theres faster, and cheaper
7)Developers Pull Out: Developers only support a system if they make money, but they might not be able to because of shortage. A developer makes a game at launch. Theres only about 1million consoles at launch, so at most they could only sell one million, and thats if it does well world wide AND everyone buys one, which is almost impossible. Well because of these shortages, developers might not sell that many units, and a game only has a shelf life for so long, so no one can buy your games, because Sony cant supply the systems. Developers spend alot of time and money on a hard to develop PS3 game, and they aren't getting there money's worth, so they'll easily support the enemy.
8)To Hard To Develop For: It takes alot of time and money to produce a PS3 game. Sony claimed those cells processors are worth it, but it may be a downfall. The games require ALOT more time to make and more money. This is
bad for both sides. Sony wont have enough games on there console compared to there competitors and developers aren't making as much money. So easily developers and fans will leave.
9)Bad E3 Showing: E3 is(or was) the major event for the gaming world. This can make or brake a year, as this is where the press make there decisions. So how did Sony fair. Well they managed to do worse the an F, they got a Z. The event was very dry, they fumbled alot, said some dumb things, and basically left the audience is shock(not good shock like Nintendo's event) with the "599 US dollars". Well, what is the end result? Nintendo is now loved by the media where Sony is constantly laughed with "Giant enemy crab" and "RIIIIIDGE RACER". So how do the fans feel?
10)Fans Aren't Happy: Its hard to find someone who wants a PS3. As mentioned earlier, there are two demographics: hardcore gamers and young adults. Well, we know the young adults can't afford it, but what about the hardcore gamers. Well, there in lies the problem, they don't want it. If you look at most polls, the PS3 usually has a high percent of "No"s, about 40%+ at least with still a high percent that say "Don't Know", about 20%+. Some polls may even go as high as 50% or even 60% "No". Include "Don't Know" and you have a small percent of "Yes"s. In fact, Gamespy said that the average Household will have a Wii and a PS3. There also a site called Wii60.com that makes fun of Sony. Also, wasn't there this lawsuit that mad a company bankrupt. God, I wish I could remember it.
11)Putting Lik-San.com Out Of Business: If people didn't hate Sony, know they do. Thanks to Sony, Lik-San.com is dead, and no one is happy. You can go to the site and find many a post hoping for Sony's demise. The truth is large sums of people used Lik-San.com, and now Sony closed it. There could have been million of users, that now cant import because of Sony, and guess what, they probably would have bought a PS3. Basically they've lost almost all sales in Europe the as lawsuit was in there home town; this making it more likely for them not to buy it as more of them are affected. It may be a victory in court, but Lik-San.com will get it's revenge.
12)Sony's Defeat in the Handheld Market: The PSP losing to the DS proved to the world that Sony is not invincible, and it may also help defeat the PS3. We will probably see many parallels to the two systems. The fact that many people have a DS vs a PSP is a large factor that will help them in buying a new system. Especially in Japan, where the DS dominates. Simply put, Nintendo sells an astronomic number of DSs in Japan, and those people are more prone to buy a Wii rather then a PS3, since they are happy with the DS and are more likely to buy the product of the same company. You probably do it all the time with software, buying from Nintendo cause they make good games. Basically most fans are losing there faith in Sony. The PSP lower sales are making people turn to
other consoles, because they just don't have the software(why is that familiar?).
13)Blu-ray: The Blu-ray is the PS3's make or brake, and as you know, its brake. In this day in age, there are alot of alternatives to watching movies. Many people have begun to watch movies on a computer and iPod. So what about Blu-Ray. Sadly, for Sony, DVDs are still popular. Alot of people have DVD players, maybe even two or three, why would they want to change to Blu-Ray? Well what made DVDs in Japan was "The Matrix", but this year, the movie industry has been at a stand still. There just aren't that many movies, and none that will make someone buy a Blu-Ray player. The other thing is not everyone is making Blu-Rays. Sony will, but everyone will stick to DVDs and of course Blu-Ray is up against HD DVDs which can cut more sales. This is also major parallel to the PSP. Movie developers aren't making money off of UMD. It use to be that there also a UMD for a DVD, but now they're all done and gone, and it will be the same for the PS3.
14)Overheating: When the PS3 was at the Tokyo Game Show, one major thing happened to it, they overheated. Now, keep in mind that the Tokyo Game Show(or TGS) runs around the normal day, probably around 9am-5pm, which is similar to E3. Well, many PS3s were overheating. Theres were also real PS3, not development kits like for the Wii. If you remember the X-Box 360's launch this was major, and this will shurly put a damper in Sony's parade' expecally since it has happed before. They will get bad press and no one will have enough faith to purchase one.
15)The Commercial:Oh God the commercial. Now Sony is usually good at advertising but this is just out of place. If you haven't seen it, it has a baby in the room with a PS3. The baby says some weird stuff and begins to cry with the gameplay in it's eye. It PS3 floats up and says "Play Beyond" under it. Now this may seem "hip" and "unique" but to all those who've seen it its "confusing" and "creepy". It's defiantly not going to appeal to the masses. They'll simply say "what the hell is this?" not knowing what it is, and forget it. The saddest part is at the end of the commercial it says the launch date (Nov 17). It should come up as 11/17 however in the commercial it comes up as "/////7". The ones are too similar to the slashes and the only number you see is "7". Now a friend of mine saw it and said he didn't know what it was at first but then found out it was the launch date; however, he thought it was Nov. 7. Now someone seeing this may not be that quick; the date only appears for a second and unless they actually know what this is it hard to tell what those slashes are. It may come down to the fact that now was able to tell what this was and if they did when it comes out.
Conclusion: The major point against these are always name recognition, but it will take more then that to saw fans. In the long run, most buyers don't care. They mainly think about playing Madden. In fact they'll care more about the price for there Madden box. Most fans don't care to much of who made the system. This is evident as the DS, which didn't even carry the Gameboy name, beat the PSP, who had the ultimate Sony name.
Now how will this bankrupt a company? Well, Sony develops system is a reverse profit was. Nintendo makes consoles where you pay more then they made it for, for instance you'll pay $250 for a Wii, but they made it for $200. Sony and Microsoft and Sony do this in reverse where they make it for more then you pay for. The idea is that development cost go down fast and then you make a profit, but in the long ruin have the stronger system. So you pay $600, but they pay about $700. So if Sony doesn't sell one console they loss $100, two they lose $200, for 5 they lose $500, but for one thousand they lose $100,000. This isn't much but they must also pay employees and other things to keep this running,
and if this number get higher they can be in hot water.
Also Sony isn't as hot as it use to be. There mighty MP3 players where beaten by Macintosh's iPod. There PC were beaten by newcomers Gateway and Dell, and TVs by everyone. In fact these companies are relatively unknown before this.
In fact Macintosh was virtually nothing.So there companies who had little name recognition beat one that had plenty of it. Now, Video games are there market and if they lose too much money there, they might be sunk.
Basically, this is Sony's last console run. The PS3 is too expensive to maintain and it will just get brushed to the side by more affordable consoles. This race will mostly be between Microsoft and Nintendo with Sony drying up as a whole in three to four years. Well, so long to bad rubbish.